Fix #1 — Stop chasing losses: a simple recovery protocol
Rule: Never increase stake size after a loss to recover. Define a fixed stake percentage and stick to it.
- Set a maximum daily loss (e.g., 2–5% of bankroll). When reached, stop betting.
- Use a fixed staking method (e.g., 1–2% flat stakes or Kelly fraction if you estimate edge).
- Log emotional state: if stressed or tilted, step away for at least 24 hours.
Example: With a $1,000 bankroll, limit a single wager to $10–$20 (1–2%). If you lose five bets, missing a recovery attempt prevents deeper damage.
Fix #2 — Bankroll management checklist
- Define your bankroll: money set aside only for betting (not living expenses).
- Choose staking plan: flat %, unit betting, or Kelly (conservative fraction).
- Keep a reserve: never risk more than a small % of bankroll in a single day.
- Reassess after major changes: if variance cuts your bankroll by 30%, recalc stake size.
Tool tip: Use spreadsheets or apps. Record date, market, stake, odds, and result.